Four : A sprint with four early or E horses with 6….
• 5/17/13 PAGE 2 of 11 in our conversation, racing is not going to out casino a casino, and standardbred racing is not going to out Thoroughbred Thoroughbred racing either.
Sameness is what it is, and you can’t run away from it.
But that doesn’t mean one cannot add value to a tote board, or embrace the sameness angle as an advantage, not a detriment.
Value can be added to a field by increasing its contentiousness, like the Meadowlands is doing with their ABC classification system.
For end of series events, like the Levy at Yonkers, trying new things like handicapping the start can be a means to an end to up tote board value and eliminate a post bias.
Like Seth and I spoke about this week on his very good Capital OTB Television show, bets can be created that add value, like a V75.
Seeded pools also create value.
In addition, where in Thoroughbred racing one might physically handicap by visiting a paddock and looking for a horse walking short, then following him to the post parade and watching him there, harness provides an inescapable interesting avenue that these players would love: W arm ups and score downs.
The off-past performance betting advantage of those two elements makes going to the track not an experience where we need face painting for the kids to draw a crowd, but one where we as players can make money through a tremendous gambling edge.
Harness is a different game filled with ‘sameness’ yes, and it is a part of the core of this sport.
It should not change, but it can be modified by embracing the elements of added value. (continued on next page) “Handicapping Literature, Data & Software” Newer players like Mike Dorr, and seasoned veterans like Norm from the Knight Sky Racing Blog both mentioned the lack of availability of harness racing handicapping literature.
Jerod Dinkin specifically wrote: “I don’t recall coming across a single harness racing book of note.
It’s very possible they are out there (although I suspect not in great numbers), but I only read the Quinn, Quirin, Davidowitz, Beyer, Ainslie, Sartin, and Brohamer types and they weren’t talking harness.
As such, I don’t know the first thing about handicapping harness.” Charlie Davis and Jeff Platt mentioned the lack of availability of data and racing software that can be used to gain an edge.
From Charlie Davis: “The main reason I don’t play harness to a large extent is because I can’t get past data into a database in a reasonably priced manner.
I would pay a few thousand bucks to have a database of the past few years, but I can’t even find that.
If I want to do that for Thoroughbreds, I have many choices of software that does more than just provide a database.
I’m not going to bet if I don’t have a positive expectation, and I can’t find out if I have a positive expectation without a database of historic information.” I don’t think you or I know one serious bettor who has not read, or does not read what they can get their hands on when it comes to handicapping literature.
W hen we do read of a new angle, or handicapping method we immediately want to try it and doggedly want to make it work, tweak it, or modify it.
Sometimes the easiest way to do that is with a database of back data.
In harness racing these avenues are simply not there.
Currently the narrative regarding that is ‘we cannot create these products because there are not enough people wanting them’.
But is it the chicken or the egg? Perhaps some supply side economics is needed: Create these products and then sell them.
Give potential players who want to learn the sport the tools needed to learn it, and let’s see if they stick with it.
It’s not like other businesses don’t do this.
Blackberry pays developers hundreds of thousands of dollars to build native apps for their platform, so they can sell their phones.
Harness racing needs to invest, so it can sell the sport.
It takes funding and a requisite leap of faith. “Value and Sameness” Seth Merrow and Jeff Platt spoke eloquently about the intricacies of handicapping Thoroughbreds with surface changes, breeding, stretch-outs, turnbacks and breeding.
It’s a big kettle of fish.
Standardbred racing, as we all know, is “standard” at a mile.
This makes the handicapping puzzle less complex, and for searchers of value on the tote board, much more Thoroughbred bettor Seth difficult.
M errow doesn’t like the Like Mike Maloney noted “sameness” of harness racing HarnessRacingUpdate.com • 5/17/13 PAGE 3 of 11 skills or the lack of.
That’s not always done consistently with harness drivers.
Drivers control the game.
That along with racing luck, getting shuffled back or trotters breaking stride and causing interference is not the kind of chance I want to take.” Thoroughbred racing outcomes are dependent on race shape and running styles.
A sprint with four “early or ‘E’” horses with 6 or 7 or 8 Quirin speed points allows one to handicap to it, and the result will be formful. “E” horses have to go hard, and rarely does the jockey have a choice on where he or she will be at the quarter pole.
In harness racing a driver can strangle a 3-2 shot to last, and not try a lick.
He or she can sit in with a four to five shot to “school the horse to race off a helmet”.
These things are infuriating to customers and we can count on a thousand fingers how many people have left betting the sport of harness racing because of them.
As a trainer or driver of a favorite or well bet horse, it is incumbent upon you to try; to give that person slugging away at a $14 an hour job who takes time out of his or her day to bet $20 on you a fair shot.
Harness racing will never ‘fix’ being boxed, or breaking trotters, because much of that is a part of the sport and beyond anyone’s control.
But there are things that can be fixed that are in control.
Being more respectful to customers’ hard-earned money is one of them. (continued on next page) “Pool Size” Norm, Alan Mann and a couple other respondents mentioned the tote, and pool size.
Their points were bang-on.
A ten to one shot at three minutes to post who ends up at 5-2 is not compelling.
Betting a $20 exacta and knocking the payoff down to $18 from $30 is not either.
Harness racing needs to worry about pool size and it needs to take it seriously.
The USTA, through the fine work of two players, Chris Schick of Cal-Expo and Seth Rosenfeld (a sharp gambler and breeder), have pushed the Strategic W agering Initiative, where pools are guaranteed for various wagers.
I would estimate this one change has helped harness racing handles the past two years more than any other.
Harness needs to do more of it, they need to fund it and it needs to be promoted with verve. “Respect for Gamblers Hard-Earned Money” Norm from the Knight Sky Blog spoke about the control that trainers and drivers have in a race outcome.
Norm wrote: “Handicappers say standardbred form is more stable.
That may be true but that is often negated by questionable driving strategy.
Some leave, some go first over, other drivers sit chilly when they shouldn’t.
W ith the thoroughbreds I think I can handicap and know exactly where my horse should be placed on the track (at least in the opening stages) and that’s why I often comment on riding HarnessRacingUpdate.com • 5/17/13 PAGE 4 of 11 “The Hodge Podge” A few of the players said something obvious and it is something we all face in 2013 life: A lack of time to do what we need to do.
On a Saturday afternoon there may be thirty thoroughbred tracks going off along with some harness tracks, too.
It’s very difficult for harness to get its product in front of willing bettors.
Better scheduling of the events and timing of off times should be explored.
Seth Merrow quizzically asked “why do harness saddlecloths differ from Thoroughbred’s and why can’t they be the same?” Funnily enough I wrote this exact same thing in an article years ago.
I could never understand why a sport which is attracting near the same clientele would be so different.
I received an email from Moira Fanning not long after the article telling me that “harness was first, and the Thoroughbreds were the ones who changed.” I did not know that.
It does beg the question: W hy not change as Seth asked? Harness Shouldn’t saddle cloth colors be the same in racing probably should.
It makes the simulcast experience easier for both breeds? customers who are not looking at harness racing.
If you are trying to land a new market, the easiest way to turn them off is to confuse them.
Conclusion Harness racing is harness racing.
It is not Thoroughbred racing and never will be, nor should it be.
However, trying to attract new bettors from a $12B betting game who are already pre-qualified to be interested in you, or who have bet and watched the sport before, is an important market.
Trying to gain some of that market share should certainly be a priority.
As well, many of the Thoroughbred patrons comments, concerns, and criticisms echo the ones from former harness players who’ve long left the sport for other games or vocations.
Fixing a few of the above issues not only attacks a Thoroughbred market, it helps bring people back to harness racing.
I enjoyed talking with my friends in Thoroughbred racing and I thank them for taking time out of their day to help.
W e all share a common bond: A love for the horse, a love for the majesty of the sport, and a love for the unique, sometimes infuriating, but never boring game of handicapping.
I sincerely hope you enjoyed reading their answers as much as I did. Who Says Harness Racing Doesn’t Have Good Handicapping Data? By David Siegel A recent Harness Racing Update (HRU) column addressed some of the differences between thoroughbred and harness racing as it pertained to handicapping and fan interest.
One of the differences mentioned was that of data availability.
Since HRU is dedicated to the promotion of our great sport, I thought I would appoint myself industry guru on harness data and do my best to inform HRU readers about the wealth of data that is available, as there is much more available than one might think.
Let me begin by telling you that I am a USTA Director and am the President of TrackMaster.
TrackMaster serves the handicapping needs of both the Standardbred and Thoroughbred markets.
In addition, TrackMaster is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Equibase, the thoroughbred’s official database for racing information.
TrackMaster then is an industry-owned company so we have a vested interest in balancing the needs of the industry against our motivation for making money.
I also own Standardbreds that I race and two retired ones that I religiously ride.
I also drive in a few hundred races every year.
So, with all of that on the table, I think I am pretty well qualified to speak on this topic.
One of the USTA’s primary missions is the collection of breeding and racing data.
I will limit my comments here to the racing side of things.
The Harness Racing Update is distributed each and every day on the grounds of the Lexington, Harrisburg and the January Select Mixed Sale. Missed an Edition of the HRU? Check out our archive at w w w .harnessracingupdate.com — HarnessRacingUpdate.com • 5/17/13 PAGE 9 of 11 13, Phl, $61,868, Pace, Pennsylvania Sire Stakes 3 Year Old Fillies, 27.3, 56.1, 1:23.4, 1:51.4, FT Charisma Hanover (f, 3, Dragon Again–Caught The Bouquet, by Jate Lobell), $15,000 2011 SHS-HBG O-Burke Racing Stable LLC & W eaver Bruscemi LLC.
B-Hanover Shoe Farms Inc.
D-Yannick Gingras, $30,934, Lifetime Record: 12-7-2-0, $134,336 2-Sweet Lady Jane (f, 3, Somebeachsomewhere–Sweet Future, by Falcons Future) O/B-Birnam Wood Farms.
D-John Campbell, $15,467 3-Handsoffmycupcake (f, 3, Christian Cullen–Love You Forty, by Artsplace), $20,000 2011 LEX-SEL O-Jfe Enterprise LLC.
B-W inbak Farm.
T-Scott Di Domenico.
D-Daniel Dube, $7,424 Calls: 1Q, 1T, 1H, T, 1Q – Finish Order: Miss Madi M, Mattie Terror Girl, Real Comfort, Want Answers To view replay click here Harrah’s Philadelphia (Race 13): In the final division of the night, Real Comfort (Stacy Chiodo) and W ant Answers dropped immediately to the back of the field and while Handsoffmycupcake (Daniel Dube) took the early lead, Charisma Hanover (Yannick Gingras) relieved her of that lead at the start of the first turn.
No leading post position changes until Miss Madi M finally made a move from the 3 hole just before the 3/4 pole (1:23.4) and part way through the final aturn looked to be challenging for the lead.
It was Another case of too little too late as Miss Madi M dropped back to 4th in the field behind a winning Charisma Hanover (1:51.4), Sweet Lady Jane (John Campbell) and the 2012 Pennsylvania Sire Stakes champion Handsoffmycupcake. 9, Phl, $61,868, Pace, Pennsylvania Sire Stakes 3 Year Old Fillies, 27.2, 56.4, 1:24.3, 1:52.2, FT 1-Nikki Beach (f, 3, Somebeachsomewhere–Western Wisdom, by Western Hanover), $90,000 2011 LEX-SEL O-Brittany Farms.
D-Ron Pierce, $30,934, Lifetime Record: 12-6-2-1, $292,233 2-Mistresstothestars (f, 3, Dragon Again–Sportsmistress, by Sportsmaster), $25,000 2011 SHS-HBG O-Burke Racing Stable LLC & W eaver Bruscemi LLC & Frank D Baldachino & The Panhellenic Stb Corp.
B-Concord Stud Farm LLC & Birnam W ood Farms.
D-Yannick Gingras, $15,467 3-Woman Of Terror (f, 3, W estern Terror–W oman Rebels, by Art Major), $25,000 2011 LEX-SELO-Steve M Elliott.
D-Tim Tetrick, $7,424 Calls: 2T, 1T, 1H, T, 1H-Finish Order: Exotic Beach, Whetstone Hanover, Somstreetsomwhere, Real Leggy To view replay click here Harrah’s Philadelphia (Race 9): Mistresstothestars (Yannick Gingras) took a smooth lead off the gate, the battle for 2nd finally went to Somestreetsomewhere (David Miller) as they passed the 1/4 pole (:27.2) followed by Nikki Beach (Ron Pierce) in 3rd.coming out of the turn Nikki Beach swung out wide from the three hole taking an easy lead before the mid-point of the stretch.
Somestreetsomewhere started putting some pressure on the leader going into the last turn but coming out of the turn lost her focus falling back in the field, Nikki Beach took the win (1:52.2), followed by Mistresstothestars and W oman Of Terror (Tim Tetrick). 11, Phl, $30,000, Trot, Winners over $25,000 Lifetime Handicap Post 1-5 Assigned Post 6-7 Draw, 27.4, 58.0, 1:25.4, 1:53.3, FT 1-Uncle Peter (h, 4, Cantab Hall–Victory Treasure, by Enjoy Lavec), $60,000 2010 LEX-SEL O-Christina Takter & Brixton Medical Ab, SD & John And Jim Fielding, CA & Goran C Falk.
B-Johanna M Beaver & Michael L Carter & Mary A Mc Loughlin & Sigmund W olkomir.
D-David Miller, $15,000, Lifetime Record: 22-9-7-1, $695,154 2-And Heez Perfect (g, 7, Andover Hall–Perfect Patty, by Perfect Spiral) O/B-Mitchell K W alker.
T-Robert Baggitt Jr.
D-Tim Tetrick, $7,500 3-He’s Spooky (h, 6, Cantab Hall–Yankee Topaz, by Lindy Lane), $110,000 2008 SHS-HBG O-Rojan Stables & L.
Express Stable LLC & Allen H Kaplan & Howard A Taylor.
B-Hanover Shoe Farms Inc.
D-Eric Carlson, $3,600 Calls: 3H, 2, T, NS, 1H – Finish Order: W aiting On A Woman, Likeabatoutahell, Major Herbie, Broadway Rocks To view replay click here Wednesday’s Results: 1, Mea, $20,000, Trot, ****PA SIRE STALLION SERIES**** 3 YEAR OLD FILLY TROT 1ST OF 5 DIVISIONS, 28.4, 58.3, 1:28.1, 1:58.1, FT Mystical Touch (f, 3, Andover Hall–Mystical Topaz, by Donerail), $25,000 2011 LEX-SEL O-Acadia Farms Inc.
B-James L Avritt Sr.
T-Alfred Manke III.
D-Aaron Merriman, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 9-3-0-1, $27,256 3, Mea, $20,000, Trot, ****PA SIRE STALLION SERIES**** 3 YEAR OLD FILLY TROT 2ND OF 5 DIVISIONS, 29.1, 59.1, 1:28.4, 1:58.0, FT Gliding To Glory (f, 3, Glidemaster–Balance The Paige, by Balanced Image) O-Todd D & Bart M Brice.
B-Trot A Lot Canada Inc, CA.
D-Richard Stillings, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 10-4-1-2, $33,914 4, Mea, $20,000, Trot, ****PA SIRE STALLION SERIES**** 3 YEAR OLD FILLY TROT 3RD OF 5 DIVISIONS, 29.0, 59.1, 1:28.0, 1:58.0, FT HarnessRacingUpdate.com • 5/17/13 PAGE 10 of 11 10, YR, $21,000, Pace, CLAIMING ALLOW ANCE $30,000 3 YO 50%, 4 YO 25%, F&M 20%, 26.3, 55.1, 1:24.2, 1:54.0, FT Hemer’s Card Shark (g, 6, Cam’s Card Shark – Yeahyou’reright, by Artsplace) O-Joseph W Cosentino.
T-Dennis J Laterza.
D-Matt Kakaley, $10,500, Lifetime Record: 71-13-9-8, $109,308 11, YR, $23,000, Pace, CLAIMING ALLOW ANCE $40,000 3 YO 50%, 4 YO 25%, F&M 20%, 27.0, 56.0, 1:24.4, 1:53.3, FT Boxcar (g, 4, Fox Valley Barzgar–Queen Of Mean, by In The Pocket) O-Maria A Bellino.
B-Paul D Liles.
T-Virgil Morgan Jr.
D-George Brennan, $11,500, Lifetime Record: 42-17-9-6, $113,395 12, YR, $20,000, Pace, NON-W INNERS OF $8,000 IN LAST 6 STARTS W INNERS OVER $40,000 IN 2013 NOT ELIGIBLE., 27.3, 56.2, 1:24.3, 1:54.0, FT Four Starz Trace (g, 6, Western Hanover–Four Starzzzz Hope, by Cam’s Card Shark), $32,000 2008 SHS-HBG O-L T F Racing Stable & Ivan S Llopez.
B-F S Starzzzz Stables Inc & Alan K Cohen.
D-Jason Bartlett, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 102-18-19-15, $531,842 Tuesday’s Results: 10, YR, $20,000, Pace, NON-W INNERS OF 4 P-M RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME. 3&4 YEAR OLD COLTS, HORSES & GELDINGS, 27.2, 56.1, 1:24.2, 1:53.1, FT Mach It So (g, 3, Mach Three–Beach Dancer, by Beach Towel) O-Bamond Racing LLC.
B-Enviro Stables LTD.
D-Brian Sears, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 6-4-1-0, $51,960 11, YR, $25,000, Pace, NON-W INNERS OF 6 P-M RACES OR $60,000 LIFETIME. 3&4 YEAR OLD COLTS, HORSES & GELDINGS, 27.3, 56.3, 1:24.3, 1:53.3, FT Lastingart Hanover (g, 4, Real Artist–Lt’s Magic, by Magical Mike), $10,000 2010 NJ-CL O-David B Van W art & Thomas G Kayhart & Vip Internet Stable LLC.
B-Hanover Shoe Farms Inc.
D-Brian Sears, $12,500, Lifetime Record: 36-6-8-6, $94,414 Thursday’s Results: 6, YR, $21,000, Trot, CLAIMING ALLOW ANCE $30,000 3 YO 50%, 4 YO 25%, F&M 20%, 29.1, 59.3, 1:28.2, 1:57.0, FT Sarkozy (g, 7, Credit Winner–Excuse My French, by Donerail), $20,000 2007 SHS-HBG O-Chad Lennon & W illiam M Adamczyk.
B-Phillip R Hunt.
T-W illiam Adamczyk.
D-Brian Sears, $10,500, Lifetime Record: 104-18-20-20, $279,004 To view replay click here Lindyofalifetime (f, 3, Cantab Hall–Enjoy Candy, by Enjoy Lavec), $35,000 2011 SHS-HBG O-Dunn Stable.
B-K R Breeding LLC.
T-W alter Dunn.
D-Richard Stillings, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 16-7-2-1, $31,860 6, Mea, $20,000, Trot, ****PA SIRE STALLION SERIES**** 3 YEAR OLD FILLY TROT 4TH OF 5 DIVISIONS, 28.2, 58.4, 1:28.3, 1:57.4, FT Omnipotent (f, 3, Donato Hanover–All Knowing, by Muscles Yankee), $30,000 2011 SHS-HBG O-Edward W Andrews.
B-Diamond Creek Farm LLC.
D-Eric Ledford, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 11-3-0-4, $27,050 8, Mea, $20,000, Trot, ****PA SIRE STALLION SERIES**** 3 YEAR OLD FILLY TROT 5TH OF 5 DIVISIONS, 29.4, 1:00.0, 1:29.2, 1:58.3, FT Mckenzie’s Star (f, 3, Donato Hanover–Ultimate Star, by Muscles Yankee) O/B-Four J’s Stable LLC & Steve M Elliott.
D-Mike W ilder, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 9-3-1-1, $25,300 Monday’s Results: 7, YR, $20,000, Pace, NON-W INNERS OF 4 P-M RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME. 3&4 YEAR OLD FILLIES & MARES, 28.4, 59.0, 1:28.0, 1:57.2, FT Silk Pajamas (f, 3, Bettor’s Delight–Silksndiamonds, by Falcon Seelster), $56,000 2011 SHS-HBG O-Conrad E Zurich & Edwin J Gold & Purple Haze Stables LLC.
B-Flintlock Farm Inc.
D-Matt Kakaley, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 13-3-3-1, $100,834 8, YR, $20,000, Pace, NON-W INNERS OF 4 P-M RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME. 3&4 YEAR OLD FILLIES & MARES, 28.4, 58.2, 1:26.4, 1:55.0, FT Spend It All (f, 3, Tell All–Dream Card, by Dream Away), $5,000 2011 SHS-HBG O-Brooke A Givens & Steven Head.
B-Robert B Burgess, CA & Karin B Olsson Burgess, CA.
D-Jordan Stratton, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 11-5-0-0, $40,970 9, YR, $25,000, Pace, NON-W INNERS OF 6 P-M RACES OR $60,000 LIFETIME. 3&4 YEAR OLD FILLIES & MARES, 29.0, 59.0, 1:27.4, 1:56.3, FT Always Love Me (m, 4, Western Terror–Chrome Hearts, by Grinfromeartoear), $5,000 2010 SHS-HBG O-Darran F Cassar & W illiam P Rochetti Jr & David Lewis Linker.
B-Perfect W orld Enterprises.
D-George Brennan, $12,500, Lifetime Record: 36-6-9-5, $102,878 HarnessRacingUpdate.com • 5/17/13 PAGE 11 of 11 8, YR, $20,000, Trot, NON-W INNERS OF $8,000 IN LAST 6 STARTS W INNERS OVER $40,000 IN 2013 NOT ELIGIBLE.
AE. 3&4 YEAR OLD NON-W INNERS OF 8 P-M RACES.
W INNERS OVER $150,000 LIFETIME NOT ELIGIBLE., M, 28.0, 57.3, 1:27.1, 1:57.1, FT Mystical Escapade (m, 4, Valley Victor–Armbro Orbital, by Speedy Crown) O-Empowered Racing.
B-Fox Valley Standardbreds & Nathan Patterson.
D-Jason Bartlett, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 31-7-7-5, $106,147 To view replay click here 10, YR, $24,000, Pace, F&M NON-W INNERS OF $12,000 IN LAST 6 STARTS W INNERS OVER $60,000 IN 2013 NOT ELIGIBLE., M, 27.2, 56.2, 1:25.2, 1:54.1, FT Can’t Stop Me Now (m, 4, Western Ideal–Ain’t No Stopn Me, by Big Towner) O-Thomas Ceraso Jr.
B-Roll The Dice Stable.
D-Matt Kakaley, $12,000, Lifetime Record: 42-10-6-5, $95,404 To view replay click here 11, YR, $20,000, Trot, NON-W INNERS OF $8,000 IN LAST 6 STARTS W INNERS OVER $40,000 IN 2013 NOT ELIGIBLE.
AE. 3&4 YEAR OLD NON-W INNERS OF 8 P-M RACES.
W INNERS OVER $150,000 LIFETIME NOT ELIGIBLE., 28.3, 58.3, 1:27.3, 1:57.0, FT Noble Warrawee (g, 4, Angus Hall–Warrawee Fourleaf, by King Conch), $57,000 2010 CAN-YS O-Adrian A W eeks.
B-Warrawee Farm, CA.
D-Daniel Dube, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 40-8-4-5, $99,629 To view replay click here 12, YR, $20,000, Pace, F&M NON-W INNERS OF $8,000 IN LAST 6 STARTS WINNERS OVER $40,000 IN 2013 NOT ELIGIBLE.
OPTIONAL CLAIMING ALLOWANCE $20,000, 27.0, 56.2, 1:25.0, 1:54.1, FT Mojarra Hanover (m, 6, Cam’s Card Shark–Mystical Art, by Artsplace), $10,000 2008 NJ-CL O-Edward J Bloom.
B-Hanover Shoe Farms Inc.
D-Mark Macdonald, $10,000, Lifetime Record: 95-13-16-13, $222,146 To view replay click here Missed an Edition of the HRU? Check out our archive at w w w .harnessracingupdate.com
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